Sports betting can be very profitable if an individual know the strategies often the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that wise money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a excellent example of this. My spouse and i analyzed the particular Western world Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West California had typically the edge in the match. Nonetheless We also recognized that there are a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on that game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Florida versus Louisville
This video game has all the signs of being one associated with the best games regarding the year, using both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Western Virginia coming again from becoming down massive in the independence day quarter to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the sport appear like this year?
In the event this match were getting played from a good basic field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
ufabet168.info/UFABET%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%95%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%87 is usually on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROUTE games.
These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, the particular additional reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like much, but in a near match-up this way, that special point will make the distinction between the push together with a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home game titles.
Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your house since 12 eighteen, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for every game at your home, while averaging only stopping 15. 7 points each game on home. In case a person decided not to do the math concepts, that means considering that their last home damage they also have averaged beating his or her oppositions by way of about thirty four items per game.
Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by simply 13 things per game at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Most of those stats were established during the july 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They already have possessed recent games by which they already have only scored 35, 12, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Oh Street. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
The end result is that this is still a good close activity to contact. Nonetheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no factor to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this particular game and definitely not guarantee at all. There will be better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big which they could very well still win following producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific video game, people really serious about sports betting saved money they can offer better apply on future games.